Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.235105 1.505545 1.849789 2.332346 3.012615 3.973646 5.508655
2025-02-16 0.842901 1.123420 1.532881 2.213177 3.408655 5.660728 11.083333
2025-02-23 0.676314 0.957456 1.409276 2.263818 4.074126 8.600458 26.842606
2025-03-02 0.581712 0.862452 1.349204 2.375821 4.960037 13.714377 89.894218
2025-03-09 0.504254 0.772292 1.263126 2.387467 5.648438 20.420013 451.776972
2025-03-16 0.436671 0.683415 1.152301 2.290598 5.961941 27.320237 6824.948696
2025-03-23 0.401714 0.645469 1.130346 2.398215 7.124637 48.254357 NaN
2025-03-30 0.366877 0.601068 1.083177 2.418657 8.034046 81.790849 NaN
2025-04-06 0.332848 0.552718 1.016366 2.355151 8.523758 127.243972 NaN
2025-04-13 0.305433 0.513512 0.962180 2.309612 9.107524 217.786835 NaN
2025-04-20 0.294902 0.506661 0.981634 2.513930 11.741463 1162.768347 NaN
2025-04-27 0.281255 0.491283 0.977000 2.636547 14.300315 37772.833986 NaN
2025-05-04 0.262716 0.463689 0.937553 2.618066 15.766330 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.243085 0.431689 0.881547 2.513321 16.177111 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.231745 0.416619 0.867893 2.581893 19.194298 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.223554 0.407547 0.868801 2.718751 24.364850 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.212576 0.390903 0.845465 2.733234 27.905481 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.199232 0.367554 0.799313 2.616341 28.141881 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.193308 0.360885 0.800770 2.746342 36.405398 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.185367 0.348670 0.783693 2.771091 42.650460 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.175928 0.332081 0.750948 2.694277 44.711376 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.167719 0.317829 0.723617 2.639295 47.851403 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.165895 0.318866 0.744223 2.886632 75.643035 NaN NaN